In today's world, 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire has taken a fundamental role in society. Whether on a personal, professional or academic level, 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire has made a significant impact on the way we live, work and relate to others. Therefore, it is crucial to fully understand the role that 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire plays in our daily lives and how we can make the most of it. In this article, we will explore different aspects related to 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire, from its origin to its evolution and the implications it has in today's world. In addition, we will analyze the possible opportunities and challenges that arise from the presence of 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire in our society.
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Hassan: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% Bolduc: 40–50% 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% No votes | |||||||||||||||||
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Elections in New Hampshire |
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The 2022 United States Senate election in New Hampshire was held on November 8, 2022, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of New Hampshire. The primary elections were held on September 13, 2022. Incumbent Senator Maggie Hassan was re-elected over Republican retired brigadier general Don Bolduc by an unexpectedly large margin of 9.1% that surpassed most polls. Hassan won her initial bid for this seat in 2016 by only 1,017 votes or 0.14%. This election marked the first time a Democrat won re-election to New Hampshire's class 3 Senate seat.
Hassan 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% 90–100% | Other Hassan/Krautmann tie No results No polling places |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 88,146 | 93.77% | |
Democratic | Paul Krautmann | 3,629 | 3.86% | |
Democratic | John Riggieri | 1,680 | 1.79% | |
Write-in | 546 | 0.58% | ||
Total votes | 94,001 | 100.0% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Participants | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn | |||||||||
Don Bolduc | Kevin Smith | Chuck Morse | Vikram Mansharamani | Bruce Fenton | |||||
1 | June 27, 2022 | NH Journal | Michael Graham Alicia Xanthopolous Haris Alic |
Link | P | P | P | P | P |
2 | August 16, 2022 | Good Morning New Hampshire | Jack Heath | N/A | P | P | P | P | P |
3[citation needed] | August 24, 2022 | Newsmax | John Bachmann | P | P | P | N | P | |
4 | September 8, 2022 | New Hampshire Institute of Politics WMUR |
YouTube | P | P | P | P | P |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | August 9–29, 2022 | August 31, 2022 | 37.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 19.0% | 3.5% | 32.0% | Bolduc +18.5 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Don Bolduc |
Bruce Fenton |
Vikram Mansharamani |
Chuck Morse |
Kevin Smith |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling (D) | September 7–8, 2022 | 559 (LV) | – | 33% | 4% | 6% | 23% | 9% | – | 25% |
University of New Hampshire | August 25–29, 2022 | 892 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 43% | 5% | 5% | 22% | 3% | 2% | 20% |
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 820 (RV) | ± 3.4% | 32% | 4% | 2% | 16% | 4% | 2% | 39% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 315 (LV) | ± 5.5% | 33% | 1% | – | 2% | 4% | 1% | 58% |
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Republican | Don Bolduc | 52,629 | 36.91% | |
Republican | Chuck Morse | 50,929 | 35.71% | |
Republican | Kevin H. Smith | 16,621 | 11.65% | |
Republican | Vikram Mansharamani | 10,690 | 7.50% | |
Republican | Bruce Fenton | 6,381 | 4.47% | |
Republican | John Berman | 961 | 0.67% | |
Republican | Andy Martin | 920 | 0.64% | |
Republican | Tejasinha Sivalingam | 832 | 0.58% | |
Republican | Dennis Lamare | 773 | 0.54% | |
Republican | Edward Laplante | 723 | 0.51% | |
Republican | Gerard Beloin | 521 | 0.36% | |
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) (write-in) | 316 | 0.22% | |
Write-in | 307 | 0.21% | ||
Total votes | 142,603 | 100.0% |
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report | Lean D | August 18, 2022 |
Inside Elections | Tilt D | July 1, 2022 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Lean D | August 31, 2022 |
Politico | Tossup | November 3, 2022 |
RCP | Tossup | January 10, 2022 |
Fox News | Lean D | September 20, 2022 |
DDHQ | Lean D | October 24, 2022 |
538 | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
The Economist | Lean D | November 1, 2022 |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | October 28 – November 1, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.7% | 47.3% | 4.0% | Hassan +1.4 |
FiveThirtyEight | September 23 – November 5, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 48.8% | 46.6% | 4.6% | Hassan +2.2 |
270towin | October 27 – November 4, 2022 | November 8, 2022 | 49.2% | 46.0% | 4.8% | Hassan +3.2 |
Average | 48.9% | 46.6% | 4.5% | Hassan +2.3 |
Graphs are unavailable due to technical issues. There is more info on Phabricator and on MediaWiki.org. |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Don Bolduc (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Phillips Academy | November 5–6, 2022 | 1,056 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 48% | 45% | 2% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | November 2–6, 2022 | 2,077 (LV) | ± 2.2% | 50% | 48% | 1% | <1% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | November 5, 2022 | 700 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 48% | 1% | 2% |
Data for Progress (D) | November 2–5, 2022 | 1,995 (LV) | ± 2.0% | 50% | 47% | 2% | – |
Wick Insights (R) | November 2–5, 2022 | 725 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 48% | 2% | 1% |
Emerson College | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 850 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
50% | 46% | 5% | – | ||||
The Trafalgar Group (R) | October 30 – November 1, 2022 | 1,241 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 46% | 47% | 4% | 3% |
Saint Anselm College | October 28–29, 2022 | 1,541 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 47% | 48% | 2% | 3% |
co/efficient (R) | October 25–26, 2022 | 1,098 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 45% | 45% | 3% | 7% |
UMass Lowell/YouGov | October 14–25, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 5.1% | 51% | 41% | 3% | 5% |
InsiderAdvantage (R) | October 23, 2022 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | 3% | 3% |
Emerson College | October 18–19, 2022 | 727 (LV) | ± 3.6% | 48% | 45% | 3% | 4% |
50% | 45% | 5% | – | ||||
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 600 (LV) | – | 49% | 47% | – | 4% |
Data for Progress (D) | October 14–19, 2022 | 1,392 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 44% | 3% | 4% |
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D) | October 2–6, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 52% | 45% | 2% | 1% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | September 26–30, 2022 | 1,081 (LV) | ± 2.9% | 48% | 45% | 4% | 3% |
Data for Progress (D) | September 23–30, 2022 | 1,147 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 50% | 43% | 3% | 4% |
Saint Anselm College | September 27–28, 2022 | 901 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 43% | 4% | 4% |
Suffolk University | September 23–26, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.4% | 50% | 41% | 3% | 7% |
American Research Group | September 15–19, 2022 | 555 (RV) | ± 4.2% | 53% | 40% | – | 7% |
University of New Hampshire | September 15–19, 2022 | 870 (LV) | ± 3.3% | 49% | 41% | 5% | 5% |
Emerson College | September 14–15, 2022 | 800 (LV) | ± 3.4% | 51% | 40% | 4% | 5% |
Data for Progress (D) | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
Change Research (D) | June 24–27, 2022 | 704 (LV) | ± 3.7% | 49% | 40% | – | 11% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 47% | 46% | 1% | 6% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 45% | 40% | – | 15% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 54% | 39% | – | 7% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 39% | 7% | 10% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 12% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 40% | – | 14% |
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 47% | 42% | 6% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 51% | 41% | 1% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 52% | 39% | 2% | 7% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kelly Ayotte (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 44% | 43% | 7% | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 49% | 45% | 3% | 3% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 48% | 43% | 3% | 6% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Bruce Fenton (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 46% | 40% | 0% | 14% |
Source of poll aggregation |
Dates administered |
Dates updated |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other |
Margin |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Real Clear Politics | December 10, 2021 – April 18, 2022 | April 21, 2022 | 44.3% | 40.0% | 15.7% | Hassan +4.3 |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chuck Morse (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 46% | – | 5% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 44% | 46% | 1% | 9% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 43% | 40% | – | 17% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 51% | 45% | – | 6% | ||
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 43% | 36% | 10% | 11% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 41% | 27% | 17% | 15% |
The Trafalgar Group (R) | December 10–12, 2021 | 1,041 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 46% | 38% | – | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corey Lewandowski (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 53% | 34% | 3% | 9% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Corky Messner (R) |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The Tarrance Group (R) | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 47% | 45% | 8% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Kevin Smith (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Data for Progress (D) Archived July 21, 2022, at the Wayback Machine | June 22 – July 8, 2022 | 903 (LV) | ± 3.0% | 49% | 45% | – | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | April 14–18, 2022 | 868 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 45% | 44% | 1% | 10% |
Saint Anselm College | March 23–24, 2022 | 1,265 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 44% | 34% | 10% | 12% |
Saint Anselm College | January 11–12, 2022 | 1,215 (RV) | ± 2.8% | 42% | 24% | 17% | 17% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Maggie Hassan (D) |
Chris Sununu (R) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | October 20–22, 2021 | 1,323 (RV) | ± 2.7% | 41% | 46% | 9% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | October 14–18, 2021 | 979 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 42% | 45% | 6% | 6% |
Saint Anselm College | August 24–26, 2021 | 1,855 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 41% | 49% | 6% | 4% |
University of New Hampshire | July 15–19, 2021 | 1,540 (LV) | ± 2.5% | 48% | 49% | 1% | 2% |
Saint Anselm College | March 4–6, 2021 | 871 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 41% | 47% | 7% | 6% |
University of New Hampshire | February 18–22, 2021 | 1,676 (LV) | ± 2.4% | 46% | 48% | 2% | 5% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Generic Democrat |
Generic Republican |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fabrizio Ward (R) | October 17–19, 2022 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 48% | 47% | – | 4% |
Phillips Academy | April 4–8, 2022 | 533 (A) | ± 4.2% | 32% | 46% | – | 22% |
471 (RV) | ± 4.5% | 36% | 48% | – | 16% | ||
The Tarrance Group (R) | November 16–18, 2021 | 500 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 42% | 45% | – | 13% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Yes | No | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Saint Anselm College | August 9–11, 2022 | 1,898 (RV) | ± 2.3% | 39% | 53% | 8% |
No. | Date | Host | Moderator | Link | Democratic | Republican |
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Key: P Participant A Absent N Non-invitee I Invitee W Withdrawn |
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Maggie Hassan | Donald C. Bolduc | |||||
1 | October 27, 2022 | NHPR | Josh Rogers, Amanda Gokee | YouTube | P | P |
1 | November 1, 2022 | Saint Anselm College | Adam Sexton | YouTube | P | P |
In the early months of the campaign, Hassan maintained a healthy lead in the polls. Polls began to tighten around September 2022 and by late October, a few polls even showed Bolduc with a narrow lead or had the candidates tied. Most pundits concurred that Hassan had a very slight edge and that the race would be extremely tight. However, Hassan won reelection by 9 points, a margin considerably wider than what was expected and one far greater than her 0.14 point plurality in 2016. Hassan's victory made her the first Democrat to win re-election to the class 3 Senate seat in New Hampshire history. This, along with Democrats' comfortable victories in New Hampshire's two House races, affirmed New Hampshire's transition from a closely contested swing state to a clearly Democratic leaning state at the federal level.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Maggie Hassan (incumbent) | 332,490 | 53.54% | +5.56% | |
Republican | Don Bolduc | 275,631 | 44.39% | −3.45% | |
Libertarian | Jeremy Kauffman | 12,390 | 2.00% | +0.30% | |
Write-in | 464 | 0.07% | – | ||
Total votes | 620,975 | 100.0% | |||
Democratic hold |
By county
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Hassan won both congressional districts.
District | Hassan | Bolduc | Representative |
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1st | 53% | 45% | Chris Pappas |
2nd | 54% | 44% | Annie Kuster |
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